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Why Are Home Buyers Coming Back To The Market Now? There’s Suddenly Good Value In Real Estate.

July 25, 2008

Statistics won’t always tell the whole story, but they often provide good perspective. The graph at right shows Existing Home Sales data going back three years.  An “existing home” is one that can’t be called new construction; a “used home”, so to speak. Note the steep decline from 2005 through late-2007. Since November, however, Existing […]

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How Hurricanes Change Home Affordability

July 23, 2008

After falling 7 cents per gallon over the last 7 days, gas prices are being pressured higher today as Hurricane Dolly barrels through the Gulf of Mexico. The first landfall hurricane of the season is expected to flood the southern Texas coast and cause minor disruptions to the nation’s oil supplies. Versus Hurricane Katrina in […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : July 21, 2008

July 21, 2008

Mortgage rates soared last week as mortgage markets experienced a 4-day freefall. By the end of the trading week, conforming mortgage rates had jumped by as much as 0.500 percent. The spike in rates can’t be pinned on any one factor, but 3 contributing factors include: The lingering impact of high energy prices on inflation […]

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Why Mortgage Rates Could Fall Because Of Midwestern Farmers

July 1, 2008

As flood waters ran through Iowa and other Midwestern states, the nation’s corn supply was thought to be in danger. Prices spiked in the wake of the floods, adding to the already-peaking grocery bills that many Americans are now bearing. But yesterday, in a surprise report, the Agriculture Department said that many farmers had over-planted corn […]

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Why Home Values May Rise When Home Building Falls To A 17-Year Low

June 18, 2008

A “Housing Start” is a new home on which construction has commenced and in May, Housing Starts fell to a 17-year low nationally. At first glance, this may seem like a negative for the already-battered U.S. housing market. It’s not. Falling Housing Starts reflects the broader real estate market and shows us that builders are working […]

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The Impact Of Falling Oil Prices On Mortgage Rates

May 30, 2008

Falling oil prices is one reason why mortgage rates are dropping for the first time in 6 days. Oil is off $9 per barrel from last week, a shift that correlates to $0.23 per gallon of unleaded gas, roughly. This drop is good news for both home buyers and “rate shoppers” — high gas prices […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : April 21, 2008

April 21, 2008

The S&P 500 added 4.3 percent last week — more than during all of 2007 — in what was a good week for the economy and a bad week for mortgage rate shoppers. After Friday’s close, mortgage rates were higher by as much as 0.375% versus the Friday prior.  This reversed a trend of falling […]

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Why “Median Sales Price” Reports Aren’t Helpful For Housing Markets

March 27, 2008

Each month, the Commerce Department and the National Association of REALTORS release national housing data. The former’s release is called the New Residential Sales report and the latter’s is called the Existing Home Sales report. Both reports highlight the “median sales price”, the point at which half of the homes in the U.S. sold for […]

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The Difference A Zip Code Can Make

March 14, 2008

There is no such thing as a “national real estate market”. Real estate is local. We know this is true because even cities don’t have their own real estate market. This chart shows how home prices have diverged across adjacent zip codes over the last 12 months. Some influencing factors: School systems Infrastructure Proximity Supply […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : March 10, 2008

March 10, 2008

Between Tuesday and Thursday, mortgage rates rose as much as during any three-day period in recent memory before settling back a bit on Friday’s jobs data. Fourteen speeches from members of the Federal Reserve were partly to blame for the mortgage rate chaos, but several other factors played a part, too. One of the biggest […]

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Help Your Home Emotionally Connect To Buyers

February 5, 2008

The end of the Super Bowl kicks off the Real Estate Spring Buying Season. As home sellers should prepare for the season’s upcoming homebuyers, they could do worse than to watch this four-minute home staging video from Barbara Corcoran. Barbara offer simple steps that “won’t cost you a lot of money but could make a […]

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Homeowners Rejoice! New Homes Sales Data Is Weak.

January 29, 2008

If you only read headlines this past week, you may have missed two very important points. The first story relates to Housing Starts.  Housing Starts measure the number of new homes entering the construction phase.  The headline blared “Housing starts plunge to 16-year low“. If you are a homeowner, this is terrific news. Because home […]

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The Week In Review (December 24, 2007) : What To Watch For

December 24, 2007

Mortgage rates moved away from the best levels of the year last week with force, and this week could resemble last. Markets have been grappling with conflicting signals about the U.S. economy. On one hand, there is evidence of inflation in the form of higher cost of living.  On the other hand, there is evidence […]

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The Week In Review (December 17, 2007) : What To Watch For

December 17, 2007

Last week proved once again: The Fed does not control mortgage rates. On Tuesday, after the Federal Open Market Committee lowered the Fed Funds Rate by 0.250%, mortgage rates began an ascent that carried all the way through Friday’s close. As a result, mortgage rates are dramatically higher today than just one week ago. Other […]

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How Japan And China Can Impact The Mortgage Rate On Your Home

October 17, 2007

Mortgage rates are determined by the prices of mortgage bonds; this, we’ve covered before.  As bonds prices go up, bond rates come down. And the price of a mortgage bond is a matter of Supply and Demand. The greater the demand for a bond, the higher its price.  High demand for bonds is one reason […]

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What Happens On The National Real Estate Scene Doesn’t Matter To You

September 26, 2007

The National Association of Realtors® released its monthly Existing Home Sales report for August 2006 and, as usual, you should be ignoring it. The report discusses real estate on a national level and we all know that real estate is a local phenomenon. It’s not that the report isn’t helpful — it is.  The Existing […]

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Want More Proof That The Fed Doesn’t Control Mortgage Rates?

September 21, 2007

For more proof that the Fed does not control mortgage rates, consider this: In the immediate aftermath of the Fed’s decision to lower the Fed Funds Rate by 0.50%, mortgage rates improved by about 0.125% on average. But, in the two days since, mortgage rates have not only given back those gains, but have approached […]

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What’s The Existing Home Sales Report Got To Do With You? Nothing.

August 28, 2007

When the National Association of Realtors® releases its monthly Existing Home Sales report, people tend to watch every word, fact and figure in the statement in hopes of decoding the real estate market. It’s all wasted energy. It’s impossible to use the NAR report in everyday living because the NAR report is a national story.  […]

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Gas Prices Dip Below $3.00 But Are Still More Than Double Five Years Ago

June 19, 2007

For those that spend a lot of time in their car, this is old news. Since Memorial Day weekend when gas prices touched $3.24/gallon nationally, the cost of filling up dipped below $3.00.  According to Gas Buddy, Monday’s average cost per gallon was $2.995. Despite the dip, gas prices are still much higher for late-June […]

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Proof That Mortgage Bonds Are A Global Market

June 12, 2007

If you ever wanted proof that mortgage rates react to global events, the past four days are it. Worldwide, investors are shunning the United States mortgage market in search of higher returns elsewhere. The more they sell, the worse mortgage rates get. The latest catalyst for extra supply: speculation about a Bank of Japan interest […]

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