News

Simple Steps To Keep Home Insurance Costs Down

July 19, 2007

As homeowners insurance premiums rise across the nation, Bankrate.com writes a helpful story on ways to keep your premiums down.  The tips may surprise you. Some of the highlights include: Don’t think a series of small claims is better than one big claim.  The smaller clains are more expensive to process for an insurer and may […]

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How Ben Bernanke’s Testimony To Congress Is Moving Mortgage Rates

July 18, 2007

Despite lower prices at the gas pump, the Consumer Price Index increased a little bit more than expected in June. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, CPI rose 0.2% versus the 0.1% expected by economists CPI tries to answer the question “How expensive is everyday life?”.  Over the last 12 months, says the government, “life” […]

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How Revisions To Previously-Released Data Are Pushing Mortgage Rates Higher Today

July 6, 2007

On a stronger-than-expected jobs report and upward revisions to April and May’s figures, mortgage rates are moving higher this morning. Against an expectation of 120,000, the Bureau of Labor and Statistics reported that 132,000 new jobs were created in June.  This not a huge deal in and of itself. It’s the revisions that are causing […]

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Three Reasons Why Mortgage Rates Are Higher This Morning

July 5, 2007

Mortgage markets are making like last night’s fireworks, exploding in the sky with a bang. There are three main factors pushing rates higher today: Bank of England raised their interest rates by 0.25% and foreshadowed future increases European Central Bank Chairman Jean-Claude Trichet said that inflation is “likely to rise again significantly towards the end […]

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How To Protect Yourself From Becoming A “Trigger Lead”

June 26, 2007

From the CBS News Video Web site, an interesting story for anyone who’s recently applied for credit. Credit repositories now sell the contact information of people applying for new mortgage loans to other mortgage lenders that want to compete for the business. Called “trigger leads”, an unsuspecting mortgage applicant can have his credit checked by a […]

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Be Wary Of Opinions That Masquerade As News

June 21, 2007

Is “news” always news, or is it masked opinion? When doing research on mortgages, it’s important to pay attention to the objectivity of your research source. Often, a writer will deploy key adjectives, phrases, and/or images that distort an otherwise factual story. This cartoon from clangnuts.com is a terrific example. It implies that interest only […]

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Gas Prices Dip Below $3.00 But Are Still More Than Double Five Years Ago

June 19, 2007

For those that spend a lot of time in their car, this is old news. Since Memorial Day weekend when gas prices touched $3.24/gallon nationally, the cost of filling up dipped below $3.00.  According to Gas Buddy, Monday’s average cost per gallon was $2.995. Despite the dip, gas prices are still much higher for late-June […]

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The Week In Review (June 18, 2007) : What To Watch For

June 18, 2007

After a tame Consumer Price Index report Friday, mortgage bonds staged a brief rally and rates retreated slightly. Earlier in the week, mortgage rates were at their highest point in almost a year. Unfortunately for rate shoppers, mortgage investors are behaving like Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde right now.  One moment, they hate the outlook […]

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The Week In Review (June 11, 2007) : What To Watch For

June 11, 2007

After a semi-calm start, last week ended terribly for mortgage rate shoppers highlighted (lowlighted?) by Thursday’s mortgage bond market crash. The drubbing Thursday was the worst day for the bond market in three years and is one of the reasons why the conforming and jumbo 30-year fixed mortgage is up 0.625% since late-April. Conforming and […]

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All Real Estate Is Local, Or Why National News Programs Are Misleading

June 7, 2007

This is just a quick reminder to ignore national news stories about real estate.  It may sound like strange advice, but real estate is a highly local phenomenon. The “national scene” is comprised of data from: 50 states, with More than 30,000 incorporated cities, and with An innumerable number of neighborhoods It also combines data […]

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The Week In Review (June 4, 2007) : What To Watch For

June 4, 2007

Another week, another vicious rise in mortgage rates.  There just wasn’t enough “bad” news to reverse the market’s recent trend to the upside. There were three notable pieces of news from last week: The Fed’s May meeting minutes revealed a genuine concern that inflation is not slowing as anticipated The employment report showed that employers […]

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How Psychological Factors Are Pushing Mortgage Rates Higher

May 17, 2007

Mortgage rates have held in a very tight range over the past few months, but little by little, they are inching higher. Mortgage rates are not picked from thin air.  Just like stock prices, they are based on facts, opinions, and psychology. There is a lot of news and data to interpret but, for the […]

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The Week In Review (May 7, 2007) : What To Watch For

May 7, 2007

Data painted a dismal picture for the economy last week including tempering inflation readings, slowing job growth, depressed home sale data, and ever-higher gasoline prices.  This gave markets hope that the Fed may start to ease up on the Fed Funds Rate. But, while the stock market rallied on the news, the bond market continued […]

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How The ADP Jobs Report Impacts Mortgage Rates

May 3, 2007

If yesterday’s ADP Employment Report is any indication, tomorrow’s jobs report may fall short of the 100,000 new job expectation from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. ADP reported 64,000 new jobs were created in April. The ADP report has never been in lock-step with the “official” report from BLS, including this well-publicized event in June […]

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Why “Prime Rate” Is A Name And Not A Number

May 2, 2007

Pop Quiz: Which interest rate is lower?  8.25% or Prime Rate? If you answered anything other than “they are the same”, then you can understand first-hand why banks refer to Prime Rate by name instead of by number. It’s a neat little piece of sales psychology that keeps people from recognizing their true cost of […]

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How 2007 Gas Prices Are Pacing With 2006 Gas Prices

April 20, 2007

Gas prices are entering a very similar pattern to 2006 across the United States and — while it’s bad news for motorists — it could be bad news for mortgage rate shoppers, too. Last summer, gas prices averaged more than $3.00 per gallon for three main reasons: Fear of supply reduction from the Middle East Fear […]

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This Year, Taxes Are Due April 17

April 16, 2007

Just a reminder that taxes are due tomorrow, April 17 — even if your tax documents state otherwise.  This is because of Emancipation Day, a legal holiday in the District of Columbia. Emancipation Day dates to April 16, 1862 when President Abraham Lincoln signed a bill ending slavery in that area.  When IRS deadlines fall […]

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Until Bonds Get More Press, You’re Going To Have To Find An Advisor You Trust

April 13, 2007

Unlike the stock market, it’s hard for the average person to know when the bond market is getting turned upside-down. So, looking back at last Friday, when mortgage rates jumped very, very quickly in a short period of time, a lot of people got surprised (and burned). With stocks, we can all turn on CNBC, Bloomberg, […]

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The Week In Review (April 2, 2007) : What To Watch For

April 2, 2007

Last week, Ben Bernanke’s testimony before Congress served as a stark wake-up call that inflation is not going away so easily. Later in the week, hard data backed that up.  PCE, the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge, beat expectations and pushed the year-over-year increase to 2.4%. The Fed hopes that PCE will be 2.0% by 2008 […]

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Watch What I Do, Not What I Say I’ll Do

March 30, 2007

The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey slipped to 88.4 in March, down from February’s 91.3 and its lowest level in six months. Why should you care about the UofM survey?  In a nutshell, you shouldn’t.  But, you sort of have to. Here’s why: Consumer confidence is considered important by markets because hundreds of “real […]

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