News

The Week In Review (November 05, 2007) : What To Watch For

November 4, 2007

As we saw last week, the economy is simultaneously hot and cold.  This makes for a strange ride on Wall Street because stocks and bonds tend to move on emotion rather than on fact. This “mob mentality” is one reason why mortgage rates have bounced up and down so much lately. For example, we saw […]

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Is A Fed Funds Rate Cut Good News Or Bad News? It Depends On Your Perspective.

October 26, 2007

The Federal Open Market Committee is widely expected to lower the Fed Funds Rate next week. For holders of credit cards and home equity lines of credit, this is good news. Both of these financial products feature interest rates tied to Prime Rate. Prime Rate is tied to the Fed Funds Rate. When the Fed […]

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Monthly Reiteration: Real Estate Is Not A National News Story

October 25, 2007

The Wall Street Journal used a lot of ink this morning on September’s Existing Home Sales data, including the chart below.  It’s frightening to the lay person who may not know how to interpret data like this. Remember: real estate is local. Yes, on a national level the number of homes for sale in increasing […]

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How Today’s Employment Data Is Hurting Mortgage Rates

October 5, 2007

On the first Friday of each month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its employment report for the United States. Last month, the jobs report showed that the economy actually lost jobs for the first time since 2003.  The total loss of jobs equaled 4,000 and contributed to the Federal Reserve’s decision to lower the […]

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How Much Does A 2,200 Square Foot Home Cost?

October 2, 2007

So, what does it cost to buy a 2,200 square foot home with 4 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms and a 2-car garage? It depends on where you live. In a study of 317 U.S. markets, Coldwell Banker concluded that the average price for such a home is $422,343. Beverly Hills, CA ($2,206,883) sits on one end […]

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Americans Will Spend $179 Million More On Gasoline Today Than One Year Ago

September 27, 2007

Economists worry about rising oil prices because it tends to generate higher pump prices for Americans.  With more money spent on gasoline, there’s (theoretically) less money available to spend on goods and services. Today, GasBuddy.com says that the average price for a gallon of unleaded gasoline is $2.792, up from $2.344 last year at this […]

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What Happens On The National Real Estate Scene Doesn’t Matter To You

September 26, 2007

The National Association of Realtors® released its monthly Existing Home Sales report for August 2006 and, as usual, you should be ignoring it. The report discusses real estate on a national level and we all know that real estate is a local phenomenon. It’s not that the report isn’t helpful — it is.  The Existing […]

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Can’t Find Your Cash? You Probably Ate It Or Drank It.

September 25, 2007

In a study of 2,036 U.S. adults commissioned by Visa USA, nearly half of all Americans are losing track of their money. An average of $45 in cash is “lost” each week in what Visa dubs “mystery spending”, Visa’s version of “I know I had this money in my wallet but I can’t figure out […]

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What The Price Of Gold Says About The Economy

September 13, 2007

Headlines today read that the value of gold is nearing its all-time high (adjusted for inflation).  The lay people would ignore this story, but those in the know understand that the price of gold is usually reflective of the state of the global economy. The spot price of gold tells a lot about investor psyche […]

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How Today’s Jobs Report Impacts Mortgage Rates

September 7, 2007

This morning, the government reported that the U.S. economy lost 4,000 jobs in August.  Led by losses in manufacturing and in construction, this is the first time since 2003 that the economy has failed to add jobs in any given month. Markets had been expecting a job gain of roughly 110,000, but many players on […]

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What’s The Existing Home Sales Report Got To Do With You? Nothing.

August 28, 2007

When the National Association of Realtors® releases its monthly Existing Home Sales report, people tend to watch every word, fact and figure in the statement in hopes of decoding the real estate market. It’s all wasted energy. It’s impossible to use the NAR report in everyday living because the NAR report is a national story.  […]

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Why Private Mortgage Insurance (PMI) Is Suddenly Popular

August 22, 2007

Suddenly, Private Mortgage Insurance is back in vogue.  If only by default. The story background is well-documented in this Bankrate.com article from 2002.  The article is five years old, but it still raises some salient points. What the article doesn’t highlight is that second mortgages such as home equity loans are typically sold to Wall Street, […]

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Why The Mortgage “Crisis” Is Not A “Crisis” For Everyone

August 17, 2007

Another day, another batch of Gloom-and-Doom stories in the news.  Remember to keep a level head — the media’s job, in part, is to sell newspapers and capture eyeballs.  Using the word “crisis” repeatedly is one way to meet that goal. A few facts to keep it all in perspective: There are still BILLIONS of […]

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The Fed Funds Rate Does Not Directly Impact Mortgage Rates

August 14, 2007

It’s been on the news a few times lately, so let’s address a key misconception about the Fed and its relationship to mortgage rates. The markets now anticipate that the Fed will lower the Fed Funds Rate within the next 45 days.  As a mortgage rate shopper, there’s not much reason to be interested.  That’s […]

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The Week In Review (August 6, 2007) : What To Watch For

August 6, 2007

In a week in which several high-profile mortgage lenders closed their doors, not all news was bad. Mortgages rates for home loans bought by the quasi-government groups Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac actually dropped a bit. If you only watched the news, or market commentary on CNBC, though, you likely have the wrong idea about […]

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Why Bad News For Stocks Can Be Good News For Mortgage Rates

August 1, 2007

Money leaving the stock market helped mortgage rates move lower yesterday.  As the Dow swung from a 140-point gain to a 140-point loss in a matter of hours, dollars were looking for a place to “park”. Mortgage bonds were one beneficiary. When investors sell stocks in a portfolio, they don’t always want to keep the […]

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Why Alerting Your Mortgage Lender About Bad News In Advance Is Better Than Surprising Them

July 31, 2007

Having trouble paying your mortgage?  You aren’t alone.  According to RealtyTrac, 1 out of every 134 homes filed for foreclosure in the first half of 2007. More and more, though, mortgage companies are doing their best to work things out with delinquent homeowners. Loss of a job or a sudden medical emergency are just some […]

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Why You Should Approach Tomorrow’s Existing Home Sales Headlines With Some Skepticism

July 25, 2007

June’s Existing Home Sales reported weaker than expected and dropped from prior levels, according to the National Association of REALTORS. Because our country (A) loves to discuss real estate, and (B) loves statistical headlines, expect tomorrow’s newspapers to emblazon one (or both) of these data points on the front page: Home sales are down 3.8% from […]

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The Biggest Banks Are Eliminating The Most Prevalent Sub-Prime Loan

July 24, 2007

Mixed news from the sub-prime sector, depending on how you look at it. Many lenders discontinuing their short-term ARM products. Washington Mutual, Countrywide and Wells Fargo are among the sub-prime lenders no longer offering the 2/28 mortgage product. The “2/28” is a adjustable rate mortgage in which the interest rate remains fixed for two years, […]

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Why Medical Bills Are More Dangerous To Homeowners Than ARMs

July 20, 2007

If you own a home and somebody else depends on your income, consider that the leading cause of home foreclosures is not “adjustable rate mortgages”. As cited many times over (including by a Harvard law professor), the answer is medical bills. Even for the insured, medical expenses can dramatically impact a family’s finances and push […]

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