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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : April 28, 2008

April 28, 2008

Mortgage markets lost ground last week on inflation concerns and a general feeling that “the worst may be over” on Wall Street. As investors moved money into the stock market, mortgage rates ticked higher for the second straight week. The biggest story from last week was the rising cost of gasoline. Rising energy costs combined with rising […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : April 7, 2008

April 7, 2008

Mortgage rates edged lower last week, buoyed by a weak employment report for March. After shedding 80,000 jobs last month, the number of working Americans is lower by 232,000 so far this year. Many pundits are claiming these figures are proof of a U.S. economic recession but it’s important to keep the data in perspective. […]

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How Mortgage Rates Benefit From 3 Months Of Worsening Employment Data

April 4, 2008

For the third month in a row, the economy shed jobs, suggesting that the U.S. is in a recession. March’s monthly loss of 80,000 jobs is the largest since March 2003 and follows January and February’s losses of 76,000 each. The weak data is edging mortgage rates lower as we head into the weekend. The […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : March 31, 2008

March 31, 2008

Mortgage rates were up last week on weak housing data and a growing nervousness about mortgage bond quality. Rates would have been up more if not for a tame inflation reading Friday. The Personal Consumption Expenditures report fell Friday to 2.0% year-over-year, putting it back within the Federal Reserve’s comfort zone of 1-2 percent. PCE […]

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Go Beyond The Headlines: Unemployment Data

March 12, 2008

The Unemployment Rate fell to 4.8 percent in February. This is 0.1% lower than from January and that’s confusing to a lot of people; it’s been highly publicized that U.S. companies shed 63,000 jobs last month. Americans are losing jobs at the same time that the Unemployment Rate is falling.  Seem strange? Well, it’s possible […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : March 10, 2008

March 10, 2008

Between Tuesday and Thursday, mortgage rates rose as much as during any three-day period in recent memory before settling back a bit on Friday’s jobs data. Fourteen speeches from members of the Federal Reserve were partly to blame for the mortgage rate chaos, but several other factors played a part, too. One of the biggest […]

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Recession or Inflation? Even Fed Members Don’t Know For Sure.

March 5, 2008

With Friday’s jobs report looming, mortgage markets are especially skittish about whether the economy is in a recession, or facing inflation. Four Fed speakers Tuesday did little to quell the debate: 9:00 A.M.: Fed Chairman Bernanke stayed on message that foreclosures and falling home values are dragging down the economy. 10:00 A.M.: Fed Vice Chairman […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : March 3, 2008

March 3, 2008

Mortgage rates edged lower last week but it was another wild ride.  Market players continue to deal with competing economic forecasts. When the economy shows signs of brightness — like it did Monday and Tuesday — mortgage rates tend to rise. This is because markets are currently equating growth with inflation and inflation pressures mortgage […]

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Planning For A “Quick Close”? Now May Not Be A Good Time.

February 12, 2008

On the backs of surging purchase activity across the country and low mortgage rates, home loan applications have risen to a near four-year high. For people with mortgage applications in process, some patience may be required. In 2006 and 2007, mortgage volume slowed nationwide.  Narrowing mortgage guidelines restricted the number of eligible borrowers and rising […]

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Where Presidential Candidates Stand On Matters Of Money

February 7, 2008

In an election year, voting for a presidential candidate can be a lot like buying a home. Both require a fair amount of analysis but — in the end — the decision is still highly emotional. Using Bankrate.com’s side-by-side candidate comparisons, some of that emotion could be replaced by fact. In a gridded format, candidates are […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : February 4, 2008

February 4, 2008

We entered the New Year uncertain of the country’s economic future. With January over, it’s a little more clear. Last week’s data and events helped firm expectations. In the near-term, we can expect weakness: The economy is shedding jobs Consumer sentiment is low Home sales continue to slump nationally In the intermediate-term, however, the picture […]

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Making English Out Of Fed-Speak (January 2008 Edition)

January 31, 2008

The Fed lowered the Fed Funds Rate by 0.500% to 3.000% yesterday.  The move was widely anticipated and so Wall Street’s reaction was muted. Because it is tied to the Fed Funds Rate, Prime Rate also fell by 0.500% yesterday.  Holders of home equity lines of credit and credit card debt benefited from the change […]

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The Week In Review (January 28, 2008) : What To Watch For

January 28, 2008

Mortgage rates change from day-to-day, but last week’s volatility was a record-breaker. After drooping through Tuesday and then skyrocketing Wednesday and Thursday, mortgage rates retreated slightly on Friday. By weeks’ end, rates were at their same levels from mid-December. This is in contrast to Tuesday, just after the Fed’s rate cut and before the stock […]

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Why It’s Not So Bad That Unemployment Reached Its Highest Rate Since November 2005

January 4, 2008

On the first Friday of each month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases key data about the American workforce. The report is officially called “Non-Farm Payrolls” but most people refer to it as the “jobs report”. The jobs report’s influence on markets is palpable for two major reasons: Consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the […]

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$100 Oil Could Mean More Than High Gas Prices For Americans

January 3, 2008

The price of oil briefly touched $100 per barrel yesterday, just short of the all-time inflation-adjusted high of $102.81 in April 1980. According to economic forecasting firm Global Insight, each $10-per-barrel increase in oil prices: Increases gas prices by 19 per gallon Cuts consumer spending by one-third of a percent Reduces employment by 100,000 Adds […]

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The Week In Review (January 2, 2008) : What To Watch For

January 2, 2008

It’s a short, but heavy, week for mortgage markets.  Investors are returning to the fray after a few lighter-than-normal weeks and their return should bring some stability to mortgage rates. Last week, mortgage bond prices rose which, in turn, moved mortgage rates down. The main reason for last week’s rate improvement was the assassination of […]

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The Week In Review (January 2, 2008) : What To Watch For

January 2, 2008

It’s a short, but heavy, week for mortgage markets.  Investors are returning to the fray after a few lighter-than-normal weeks and their return should bring some stability to mortgage rates. Last week, mortgage bond prices rose which, in turn, moved mortgage rates down. The main reason for last week’s rate improvement was the assassination of […]

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The Week In Review (December 10, 2007) : What To Watch For

December 10, 2007

Among lingering doubts about housing and credit markets, and a general uncertainty about the U.S. economy, the mortgage bond market tanked towards the latter part of last week. As investors moved away from mortgage bonds, mortgage rates forcefully bounced off their two-year lows. A major factor behind last week’s run-up in rates is the market […]

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The Week In Review (December 3, 2007) : What To Watch For

December 3, 2007

If you enjoy roller coaster rides, last week’s mortgage markets were a delight.  Up and down mortgage rates went, trying to find a balance between inflation and recession (or maybe neither). A major cue for markets last week came from a high-ranking Fed official who raised expectations for future cuts to the Fed Funds Rate.  […]

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Where You Find Speculators, You May Also Find Failures

November 14, 2007

This morning, RealtyTrac released its Q3 2007 foreclosure data for the United States. The leading cities for foreclosures are: Stockton, CA (1 per 31 households) Detroit, MI (1 per 33 households) Riverside/San Bernardino, CA (1 per 43 households) Fort Lauderdale, FL (1 per 48 households) Las Vegas, NV (1 per 48 households) Sacramento, CA (1 […]

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