inflation

Are You Financially Smarter Than A 12th Grader?

April 10, 2008

Every two years, the Jump$tart Coalition issues a “personal finance” exam to high school seniors. The test highlights the importance of personal financial literacy among America’s youth and comes at an especially important juncture. Many experts — including Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke — believe that basic financial knowledge is essential for (and lacking in) teenagers.  […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : April 7, 2008

April 7, 2008

Mortgage rates edged lower last week, buoyed by a weak employment report for March. After shedding 80,000 jobs last month, the number of working Americans is lower by 232,000 so far this year. Many pundits are claiming these figures are proof of a U.S. economic recession but it’s important to keep the data in perspective. […]

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How Mortgage Rates Benefit From 3 Months Of Worsening Employment Data

April 4, 2008

For the third month in a row, the economy shed jobs, suggesting that the U.S. is in a recession. March’s monthly loss of 80,000 jobs is the largest since March 2003 and follows January and February’s losses of 76,000 each. The weak data is edging mortgage rates lower as we head into the weekend. The […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : March 31, 2008

March 31, 2008

Mortgage rates were up last week on weak housing data and a growing nervousness about mortgage bond quality. Rates would have been up more if not for a tame inflation reading Friday. The Personal Consumption Expenditures report fell Friday to 2.0% year-over-year, putting it back within the Federal Reserve’s comfort zone of 1-2 percent. PCE […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : March 24, 2008

March 24, 2008

Conforming mortgage rates edged slightly lower for the second week in a row. Mortgage rates fell for two main reasons: The Federal Reserve offered fiscal support for troubled mortgage-backed securities A government group gave Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac permission to lend more of money to American homeowners These two actions combined to make mortgage-backed securities safer […]

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Making English Out Of Fed-Speak (March 2008 Edition)

March 19, 2008

The Fed lowered the Fed Funds Rate by 0.750% to 2.250% yesterday. Because it is tied to the Fed Funds Rate, Prime Rate also fell by 0.750% yesterday.  Prime Rate is now to 5.250%. Holders of home equity lines of credit and credit card debt benefited from the change and will see lower interest costs in […]

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Expect A Fed Funds Rate Cut This Afternoon

March 18, 2008

The Federal Open Market Committee meets today and will issue a press release in addition to cutting the Fed Funds Rate at 2:15 P.M. ET. The verbiage of the press release will be as widely watched as the rate cut itself because markets are curious about how far the Federal Reserve will go to lessen […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : March 17, 2008

March 17, 2008

Mortgage rates fell last week on growing evidence of a recession, but far fewer Americans were eligible to take advantage. Mortgage lenders continue to reduce product menus and that is leaving homeowners with fewer mortgage financing options than before. As an added hurdle, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac recently added “risk-based” fees on all conforming […]

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How Gas Prices Are Impacting Mortgage Rates

March 11, 2008

Gasoline prices reached an all-time, inflation-adjusted high yesterday, averaging $3.23 per gallon nationwide. According to GasBuddy.com, this represents a 25% increase in the last 12 months. Higher gas prices are leaving Americans with fewer discretionary dollars to spend and that is playing a role in the U.S. economy’s slowdown.  It’s one reason why mortgage rates have […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : March 10, 2008

March 10, 2008

Between Tuesday and Thursday, mortgage rates rose as much as during any three-day period in recent memory before settling back a bit on Friday’s jobs data. Fourteen speeches from members of the Federal Reserve were partly to blame for the mortgage rate chaos, but several other factors played a part, too. One of the biggest […]

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Recession or Inflation? Even Fed Members Don’t Know For Sure.

March 5, 2008

With Friday’s jobs report looming, mortgage markets are especially skittish about whether the economy is in a recession, or facing inflation. Four Fed speakers Tuesday did little to quell the debate: 9:00 A.M.: Fed Chairman Bernanke stayed on message that foreclosures and falling home values are dragging down the economy. 10:00 A.M.: Fed Vice Chairman […]

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What High Oil Prices Mean To Mortgage Rates

March 4, 2008

After briefly exceeding its all-time high, oil closed Monday at $102.45. Rising energy costs can lead to inflation because American Business eventually passes on its higher costs to American Consumers. When consumers have to spend more money for the same amount of product, it’s called “inflation”. Another way to look at inflation is like an erosion […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : March 3, 2008

March 3, 2008

Mortgage rates edged lower last week but it was another wild ride.  Market players continue to deal with competing economic forecasts. When the economy shows signs of brightness — like it did Monday and Tuesday — mortgage rates tend to rise. This is because markets are currently equating growth with inflation and inflation pressures mortgage […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : February 25, 2008

February 25, 2008

It’s a big week for mortgage markets (again) and that should cause rates to fluctuate wildly (again). The volatility we’ve seen since December has not been for the faint of heart.  Even this past Friday, as mortgage rates were poised to end the week lower, a late-afternoon stock market rally reversed it. In the last […]

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The Effect Of Fed Funds Rate Cuts On Mortgage Rates

February 15, 2008

As mortgage rates lurch higher this week, we have additional proof that cuts to the Fed Funds Rate do not lead to cuts in mortgage rates. Since the Federal Reserve’s surprise rate cut January 22, 2008: The Fed Funds Rate is lower by 1.250% The 30-year fixed rate mortgage is higher by approximately 0.750% Mortgage […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : February 11, 2008

February 11, 2008

Mortgage markets are conflicted about the U.S. economy and the confusion is impacting home buyers. If you’ve recently tried to lock a mortgage rate, you’ve probably experienced it personally. On one hand, reports of plunging sales suggest that the economy is slowing more quickly than expected. This is recessionary and tends to be good for […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : February 4, 2008

February 4, 2008

We entered the New Year uncertain of the country’s economic future. With January over, it’s a little more clear. Last week’s data and events helped firm expectations. In the near-term, we can expect weakness: The economy is shedding jobs Consumer sentiment is low Home sales continue to slump nationally In the intermediate-term, however, the picture […]

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Making English Out Of Fed-Speak (January 2008 Edition)

January 31, 2008

The Fed lowered the Fed Funds Rate by 0.500% to 3.000% yesterday.  The move was widely anticipated and so Wall Street’s reaction was muted. Because it is tied to the Fed Funds Rate, Prime Rate also fell by 0.500% yesterday.  Holders of home equity lines of credit and credit card debt benefited from the change […]

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The Week In Review (January 28, 2008) : What To Watch For

January 28, 2008

Mortgage rates change from day-to-day, but last week’s volatility was a record-breaker. After drooping through Tuesday and then skyrocketing Wednesday and Thursday, mortgage rates retreated slightly on Friday. By weeks’ end, rates were at their same levels from mid-December. This is in contrast to Tuesday, just after the Fed’s rate cut and before the stock […]

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The Week In Review (January 07, 2008) : What To Watch For

January 7, 2008

Stock markets tanked last week behind high oil prices and weak employment data. Amid a sell-off that led to a 4.5% decline in the S&P 500, investors sought safety in the bond markets. As a result, mortgage bonds improved last week, driving some mortgage rates to their lowest levels in two years. This week, with […]

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