economic data

Looking Back And Looking Ahead : June 9, 2008

June 9, 2008

There was no rest for the mortgage-rate weary last week. As mortgage bonds sold off early in the week, sharp rate hikes followed. A steady stream of better-than-expected economic reports had re-ignited inflation fears, drawing money from the bond market. On Friday, however, the money flow reversed on a triple threat to the U.S. economy: The […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : April 21, 2008

April 21, 2008

The S&P 500 added 4.3 percent last week — more than during all of 2007 — in what was a good week for the economy and a bad week for mortgage rate shoppers. After Friday’s close, mortgage rates were higher by as much as 0.375% versus the Friday prior.  This reversed a trend of falling […]

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The Week In Review (January 28, 2008) : What To Watch For

January 28, 2008

Mortgage rates change from day-to-day, but last week’s volatility was a record-breaker. After drooping through Tuesday and then skyrocketing Wednesday and Thursday, mortgage rates retreated slightly on Friday. By weeks’ end, rates were at their same levels from mid-December. This is in contrast to Tuesday, just after the Fed’s rate cut and before the stock […]

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Americans Are $6.25 Billion More Wealthy Since September Because Of The Federal Reserve

January 8, 2008

Since September 2007, the Federal Reserve has lowered the Fed Funds Rate by 1.000%. This has caused Prime Rate to fall by 1.000%, too.  This is because the Fed Funds Rate and Prime Rate are directly related. In mathematical terms, the relationship looks like this: (Prime Rate) = (Fed Funds Rate) + (3.000%) So, because […]

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The Week In Review (January 07, 2008) : What To Watch For

January 7, 2008

Stock markets tanked last week behind high oil prices and weak employment data. Amid a sell-off that led to a 4.5% decline in the S&P 500, investors sought safety in the bond markets. As a result, mortgage bonds improved last week, driving some mortgage rates to their lowest levels in two years. This week, with […]

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The Week In Review (January 2, 2008) : What To Watch For

January 2, 2008

It’s a short, but heavy, week for mortgage markets.  Investors are returning to the fray after a few lighter-than-normal weeks and their return should bring some stability to mortgage rates. Last week, mortgage bond prices rose which, in turn, moved mortgage rates down. The main reason for last week’s rate improvement was the assassination of […]

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The Week In Review (January 2, 2008) : What To Watch For

January 2, 2008

It’s a short, but heavy, week for mortgage markets.  Investors are returning to the fray after a few lighter-than-normal weeks and their return should bring some stability to mortgage rates. Last week, mortgage bond prices rose which, in turn, moved mortgage rates down. The main reason for last week’s rate improvement was the assassination of […]

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The Week In Review (November 19, 2007) : What To Watch For

November 19, 2007

In a holiday-shortened week with no major economic data releases, expect worries about the credit markets and speculation about holiday shopping to take center stage. Last week was a mixed bag for the economy and mortgage markets responded in kind.  Rates were relatively unchanged. The news started with Wednesday’s Retail Sales report.  In showing a […]

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How The Stock Market Is Directing Traffic For Mortgage Rates

October 23, 2007

As we talked about yesterday, the stock market appears to be directing traffic for the bond market. Monday was a flat day for stocks, and it was a flat day for bonds, too.  Mortgage rates idled. Tuesday, with no economic data hitting the wires, market participants will be looking for direction elsewhere. Some likely candidates […]

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The Week In Review (August 13, 2007) : What To Watch For

August 13, 2007

After all the volatility and talk of a global crumble, all of the major U.S. stock indices posts gains last week.  It just goes to show you what a strange roller coaster ride we’re all on. Last week, the market bounced its way through: The Fed’s press release stating that inflation is still a concern […]

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The Week In Review (April 9, 2007) : What To Watch For

April 9, 2007

On strength in jobs and hiring, mortgage rates finished last week at their highest levels in six weeks. It was a slow week last week until Friday when — with the stock market closed for Good Friday and with most bond traders on early vacation — the Non-Farms Payroll report handily beat expectations. This created […]

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The Week In Review (February 26, 2007) : What To Watch For

February 26, 2007

Aside from CPI, last week was quiet on the economic data front.  Traders used the week to catch their breath and look around a bit at market conditions.  They liked what they saw and strong demand for bonds pushed mortgage rates down. This week, the big Market Mover Day is Thursday, coinciding with the release […]

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Has “Housing Stability” Become a “Housing Rebound”?

January 26, 2007

Mortgage bonds continue their slide after yesterday’s outright hysteria. Today’s New Homes Sales showed a 4.8% jump in December to an annualized pace of 1.12 million homes.  This is about 14% higher than July’s pace and some economists are wondering if “housing stability” just turned into “housing rebound”. Home supply plummeted from 7.2 months to […]

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The Market Sees What It Wants To See

January 24, 2007

With the Federal Open Market Committee scheduled to meet for two days beginning January 30, the Fed has entered “blackout mode” and no Fed speakers are slated for the next week.  Combine Fed Silence with lack of economic data, and market are moving on emotion and gut feel. That’s bad news for rate shoppers because […]

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The Week In Review (January 22, 2007) : What To Watch For

January 22, 2007

Last week, economic data showed that the economy continues to grow at a healthy pace and that last year’s fears of an economic recession may have been overblown; wholesale and consumer prices were up 1.1% and 2.5% annually, respectively. With no clear recessionary indicators present in the market, long-term mortgages such as the 30-year fixed […]

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