consumer

The Inflation Calculator Checks Whether Your Income Is Keeping Pace With The “Cost of Life”

July 22, 2008

The phrase “Consumer Price Index” can be intimidating and unclear to Americans.  It’s an economic term, after all, and not a part of everyday American language. It even has its own abbreviation to add to the confusion — CPI. So, when a layperson hears that “CPI is rising”, it’s not always clear what it means. The […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : July 21, 2008

July 21, 2008

Mortgage rates soared last week as mortgage markets experienced a 4-day freefall. By the end of the trading week, conforming mortgage rates had jumped by as much as 0.500 percent. The spike in rates can’t be pinned on any one factor, but 3 contributing factors include: The lingering impact of high energy prices on inflation […]

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Mortgage Rates Spike On Highest Cost Of Living Index Since 1991

July 17, 2008

Another day, another piece of inflationary data. June’s Consumer Price Index showed a 5 percent year-over-year increase in what is now the largest annual Cost of Living increase for Americans in 17 years. This is bad news for both home buyers and homeowners in want of a new mortgage because rising costs are inflationary and […]

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Fannie And Freddie Are Yesterday’s News, Says The Market

July 15, 2008

Mortgage markets have turned their attention back to the U.S. economy this morning, causing yesterday’s rate improvements to unwind a bit. Rates had fallen Monday after the Federal Reserve and U.S. Treasury’s joint announcement in support of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.  Today, it’s the data that is taking center stage. Most notably, the U.S. […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : July 14, 2008

July 14, 2008

Mortgage rates fell slightly in a week that included a bank failure, more oil price spikes, and questions about the health of the nations’ mortgage market. Rates would have fallen more if not for a late-Friday sell-off that added 0.125 percent to most products. As financial markets fell under stress, most people missed the strong […]

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How Is The Economy Doing? It Depends Who You Ask.

July 11, 2008

“Economic uncertainty” is turning into a 2008 buzzword and there’s good reasons why. On the one hand, there are precursors to inflation in the economy: Rising oil costs Rising food prices Higher Cost of Living On the other hand, there are precursors to recession in the economy, too: Mounting job losses Less access to credit […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : July 7, 2008

July 7, 2008

Last week was fairly uneventful in the mortgage markets, with rates slightly edging lower across the board and without much data to influence trading. Even Thursday morning’s hotly-anticipated jobs report was met with lukewarm interest; many traders had already left for the weekend. Mortgage rates just drifted — a little up and little down, but mostly unchanged. […]

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Why Mortgage Rates Could Fall Because Of Midwestern Farmers

July 1, 2008

As flood waters ran through Iowa and other Midwestern states, the nation’s corn supply was thought to be in danger. Prices spiked in the wake of the floods, adding to the already-peaking grocery bills that many Americans are now bearing. But yesterday, in a surprise report, the Agriculture Department said that many farmers had over-planted corn […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : June 23, 2008

June 23, 2008

Mortgage rates edged higher for the fifth straight week and the benchmark 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is now at a 10-month high. One reason why rates are spiking is because the temporary jolt from higher energy and food costs is starting to look like a longer-term trend. For example, high energy prices get a lot of press, but […]

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The Midwest Flooding And Its Impact On Your Home Mortgage

June 20, 2008

Flooding in the Midwest has displaced thousands of families and caused billions of dollars in damages. It may also cause mortgage rates to rise. As the extent of the damage becomes more clear, prices for grain and livestock are soaring.  For example, a host of dietary staples are suddenly more expensive at the supermarket, including: Meat […]

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If That Home Is A “Good Buy”, Make Your Offer Quickly

June 17, 2008

Each month, University of Michigan researcher survey the U.S. population about their thoughts on the economy — is it improving, it is worsening, is it staying the same. May’s consumer confidence survey registered it’s lowest reading since 1980. Given the recent headlines, that shouldn’t be surprising: Unemployment is spiking Gas prices are at an all-time high […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : June 16, 2008

June 16, 2008

Mortgage rates moved higher last week on lingering concerns about inflation, the fourth straight week in which rates rose. Mortgage rates are now as high as they’ve been since October 2007. Because inflation devalues mortgage bonds, market players are quick to unload them when signs of inflation are present. Last week, there were several such signs: […]

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Is The Federal Reserve Telegraphing Its Next Rate Hike?

June 11, 2008

The Federal Reserve is stumping hard on inflation this week, creating speculation that Fed Funds Rate hikes may be in store for later this month. This is a counter-intuitive development because increases to the Fed Funds Rate are typically associated with periods of rapid economic expansion. Lately, we’ve seen anything but. Witness: High levels of unemployment […]

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Why It’s Good News For Home Buyers When Unemployment Rates Surge

June 6, 2008

On the first Friday of every month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its Non-Farm Payrolls report. More commonly called the “jobs report”, today’s 2-page analysis of May 2008 shows that the economy shed jobs and that unemployment surged. This is terrific news for home affordability. That may sound counter-intuitive, so let’s dig deeper into the […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : May 27, 2008

May 27, 2008

The market optimism that had pushed mortgage rates lower since late-March reversed last week on ever-rising oil prices and a bleak outlook from the Federal Reserve. When gas prices reached $3.93 Friday, it re-ignited inflation concerns and inflation, you’ll remember, is the enemy of mortgage rates. As expected, mortgage rates spiked into Friday’s market close. […]

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How Spiking Oil Prices Have Mortgage Rates In Tow

May 23, 2008

High oil prices are derailing the mortgage market this week, taking an almost-vertical path higher. Since mid-February, prices are up by 50 percent. Rising oil prices can be a threat the U.S. economy because with every extra dollar that Americans pay to energy companies, there is less money available for every other company that makes […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : May 19, 2008

May 19, 2008

Optimism ruled the markets last week — optimism about employment, optimism about housing, and optimism about inflation. Mortgage rates edged lower overall. Despite the positive sentiment from Wall Street, consumer confidence in the economy reached a 28-year low. This is a normal divergence because investors live in the “future” of markets while Americans live in the […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : May 12, 2008

May 12, 2008

With little economic news to influence trading and despite a late-Friday afternoon spike, mortgage rates edged lower last week. Two weeks ago, when it lowered the Fed Funds Rate by a quarter-percent, the Federal Reserve noted two things: The economy was stabilizing High energy costs threatened inflation In the days that followed, though, the U.S. dollar […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : May 5, 2008

May 5, 2008

Mortgage rates ended higher last week on stronger-than-expected jobs data, strong consumer spending, and an appetite for riskier investments. But, investors were most excited about the Federal Reserve’s hint that its rate-cutting cycle may be over. The week was quiet until Wednesday when the Federal Reserve voted to lower the Fed Funds Rate by a […]

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Why It Doesn’t Matter What The Federal Reserve Does Today

April 30, 2008

The Federal Open Market Committee adjourns from its two-day meeting at 2:15 P.M. ET today. Markets expect the Fed to lower the Fed Funds Rate by 0.250 percent in its press release but it’s not what the Fed does that matters to economy right now. It’s what the Fed says. If the Fed states that […]

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