supply and demand

Did We Just See The First 2 Signs Of A Housing Recovery?

January 27, 2009

Don’t let the plunging median sales price fool you — December’s Existing Home Sales data has home sellers smiling. Just one month after falling below the 5-million unit trend line, sales volume roared back by 300,000 homes in December, surprising housing analysts and making a case that this spring’s Buying Season could be a competitive one. Falling home prices helped fuel home sales

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The Truth About Those "4.500 Percent Mortgage Rates" You Keep Hearing About

December 4, 2008

Business television is abuzz this morning with talk of “four-point-five percent mortgage rates”; the clip above ran on NBC Today. The news stems from a leaked story that the U.S. Treasury will intervene in the mortgage market, lowering rates a full percentage point below their current levels

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Mortgage Rates Fell But Be Careful Of History Repeating Itself

November 26, 2008

Like everything else on Wall Street, mortgage markets are based on supply and demand. When demand outweighs supply, mortgage rates fall. So, Tuesday, when the government unexpectedly announced a $500 billion budget for buying mortgage debt from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the demand side of the mortgage market ballooned. The surprise demand helped push […]

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How Terrible Housing Data Can Actually Help Push Home Values Higher

October 18, 2008

Once again, the headlines may be misleading you.  It’s a good thing that Housing Starts dropped last month — despite what the papers say. A “housing start” is a new residence on which construction has started.  Yesterday, the government released September 2007’s Housing Starts data for the country. There was a 10.2% drop in Housing […]

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Falling Home Supplies Are Bad News For Home Buyers (But Good News For Home Sellers)

September 25, 2008

The August Existing Home Sales report was released Wednesday, showing a decline in the number of homes sold nationwide, and a reduction in the median sales price. Not surprisingly, the media singled these two statistics out, playing them as a big negative. They’re not. The decline in sales wasn’t good, but it wasn’t terrible, either — sales […]

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What’s Good For Home Sellers Is Bad For Home Buyers : Builders Are Dialing It Back

September 18, 2008

In August, home builders broke ground on the fewest number of homes since January 1991. It was the 16th straight month in which Housing Starts declined. But, although the press labels these statistics indicative of a recession, home sellers nationwide quietly applaud them. With fewer new homes coming on the market, home sellers are finding that there’s […]

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The Strength In New Home Sales Shows That Banks And Builders Have Figured Out The Market

September 17, 2008

Despite turmoil on Wall Street, the housing sector continues to deliver good news. Last month, led by a 22 percent surge from the West Region, New Home Sales rose 2.7 percent over August. A “new home” is a newly-built residence, never before lived in. New homes are usually built and sold by real estate development […]

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To See Where Mortgage Rates May Go This Week, Keep An Eye On The Weather Channel

August 28, 2008

Three years to the week after Hurricane Katrina caused $81.2 million in damages, Tropical Storm Gustav is charting a similar Gulf of Mexico path. Memories of Katrina are making oil traders nervous.  The 2005 storm shut down 30 platforms and 9 refineries.  And, this week, oil prices are up nearly 4 percent on fears that the […]

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Changing Mortgage Guidelines Impact Buyers Of Second Homes And Investment Properties

August 1, 2008

Conforming mortgage guidelines are the Home Loan Rule Book, delineating between applicants that approved for a mortgage and those that do not. Effective today, the rule book just got a little bit tougher. According to Fannie Mae, homeowners converting their primary residence into a second home or investment property will be subject to additional underwriting […]

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Why Home Values May Rise When Home Building Falls To A 17-Year Low

June 18, 2008

A “Housing Start” is a new home on which construction has commenced and in May, Housing Starts fell to a 17-year low nationally. At first glance, this may seem like a negative for the already-battered U.S. housing market. It’s not. Falling Housing Starts reflects the broader real estate market and shows us that builders are working […]

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The Impact Of Falling Oil Prices On Mortgage Rates

May 30, 2008

Falling oil prices is one reason why mortgage rates are dropping for the first time in 6 days. Oil is off $9 per barrel from last week, a shift that correlates to $0.23 per gallon of unleaded gas, roughly. This drop is good news for both home buyers and “rate shoppers” — high gas prices […]

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Homeowners Rejoice! New Homes Sales Data Is Weak.

January 29, 2008

If you only read headlines this past week, you may have missed two very important points. The first story relates to Housing Starts.  Housing Starts measure the number of new homes entering the construction phase.  The headline blared “Housing starts plunge to 16-year low“. If you are a homeowner, this is terrific news. Because home […]

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How Japan And China Can Impact The Mortgage Rate On Your Home

October 17, 2007

Mortgage rates are determined by the prices of mortgage bonds; this, we’ve covered before.  As bonds prices go up, bond rates come down. And the price of a mortgage bond is a matter of Supply and Demand. The greater the demand for a bond, the higher its price.  High demand for bonds is one reason […]

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When Mortgage Rates Snowball Higher And It Becomes An Avalanche

June 8, 2007

Yesterday was the single worst day for mortgage rates in more than four years. Because so few homeowners understand how mortgage rates are determined, a day like yesterday may have little context. So, let’s try to put it in perspective. If somebody told you that the stock market crashed, you’d understand.  A stock market crash […]

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