fed funds rate

Understanding the Federal Reserve

April 21, 2009

The Federal Reserve meets next week for a policy-setting meeting. It’s one of 8 scheduled Fed meetings this year in which the Federal Open Market Committee votes on whether to raise, lower, or leave unchanged the Fed Funds Rate. Based on data compiled by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland , Wall Street’s expectations of the Fed Funds Rate post-meeting are as follows: 97 percent probability that the Fed Funds Rate holds at 0.000 to 0.250% 3 percent probability that the Fed Funds Rate is raised to 0.750%.

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Mortgage Rates Plummet on New Round of Mortgage Bond Purchases from Fed

March 18, 2009

The Federal Open Market Committee voted to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged today, within the target range of 0.000-0.250 percent. This doesn’t mean the Fed stood pat, however.

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What To Expect From The Fed Today And How It May Impact Mortgage Rates

January 28, 2009

The Federal Open Market Committee adjourns from its 2-day meeting today.

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You’ll Get The Best Mortgage Rates If You Watch Certain Patterns

December 18, 2008

When it comes to mortgage rates, sometimes it’s better to “act now”.

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Why It May Be Prudent To Lock Your Mortgage Rate Before 2:15 P.M. ET Today

August 5, 2008

The Federal Open Market Committee meets today and is widely expected to hold the Federal Funds Rate at 2.000 percent. This does not mean that mortgage rates will stay flat, too, however. The Fed Funds Rate is a different type of interest rate from the ones charged to American homeowners for their mortgages. The Fed […]

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Making English Out Of Fed-Speak (August 2008 Edition)

August 5, 2008

For the second consecutive meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee left the Fed Funds Rate unchanged at 2.000 percent. In its press release, the Federal Reserve addresses inflation, saying that it “has been high”, fingering energy and commodity costs as culprits.  The Fed does expects inflation to moderate later this year, however. Regarding recession, the Fed […]

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How The Fed’s Words Should Trump The Fed’s Actions Today

June 25, 2008

The Federal Open Market Committee adjourns from its 2-day meeting at 2:15 P.M. ET today.  It’s widely expected that the group will leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged at 2.000 percent. However, it’s not what the Fed does today that has markets so interested.  It’s what the Fed will say. One of the Federal Reserve’s […]

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Making English Out Of Fed-Speak (June 2008 Edition)

June 25, 2008

The Federal Open Market Committee left the Fed Funds Rate unchanged at 2.000 percent this afternoon, as expected. In its press release, the Federal Reserve noted the co-existence of inflation and recession. On inflation, the Fed said that energy and food prices are contributing to an “elevated state” of inflation, but that it expects price […]

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Is The Federal Reserve Telegraphing Its Next Rate Hike?

June 11, 2008

The Federal Reserve is stumping hard on inflation this week, creating speculation that Fed Funds Rate hikes may be in store for later this month. This is a counter-intuitive development because increases to the Fed Funds Rate are typically associated with periods of rapid economic expansion. Lately, we’ve seen anything but. Witness: High levels of unemployment […]

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How We Know That Prime Rate Will Likely Rise Before It Falls

May 22, 2008

Three weeks after adjourning, Federal Reserve officials release detailed minutes of their most recent meeting. The April 30, 2008 minutes were released Wednesday and it affirmed traders’ beliefs that the Federal Reserve will not be in a hurry to lower the Fed Funds Rate again. This is bad news for two groups of people whose […]

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How The 84,000 Parts Of Inflation Impact Mortgage Rates

May 12, 2008

When the everyday “Cost of Living” increases, our dollars don’t go as far as they used to.  Economists call this inflation. One popular method of measuring inflation is to track prices for 84,000 individual items and lump them together into a “basket”.  If the overall price is higher, then the economy is experiencing inflation. If a […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : May 12, 2008

May 12, 2008

With little economic news to influence trading and despite a late-Friday afternoon spike, mortgage rates edged lower last week. Two weeks ago, when it lowered the Fed Funds Rate by a quarter-percent, the Federal Reserve noted two things: The economy was stabilizing High energy costs threatened inflation In the days that followed, though, the U.S. dollar […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : May 5, 2008

May 5, 2008

Mortgage rates ended higher last week on stronger-than-expected jobs data, strong consumer spending, and an appetite for riskier investments. But, investors were most excited about the Federal Reserve’s hint that its rate-cutting cycle may be over. The week was quiet until Wednesday when the Federal Reserve voted to lower the Fed Funds Rate by a […]

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Why It Doesn’t Matter What The Federal Reserve Does Today

April 30, 2008

The Federal Open Market Committee adjourns from its two-day meeting at 2:15 P.M. ET today. Markets expect the Fed to lower the Fed Funds Rate by 0.250 percent in its press release but it’s not what the Fed does that matters to economy right now. It’s what the Fed says. If the Fed states that […]

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Making English Out Of Fed-Speak (April 2008 Edition)

April 30, 2008

The Fed lowered the Fed Funds Rate by a quarter-percent to 2.000% this afternoon. Because it is tied to the Fed Funds Rate, Prime Rate also fell by a quarter-percent.  Prime Rate is now 5.000%. Holders of home equity lines of credit and credit card debt benefited from the change and will see lower interest costs in next […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : April 28, 2008

April 28, 2008

Mortgage markets lost ground last week on inflation concerns and a general feeling that “the worst may be over” on Wall Street. As investors moved money into the stock market, mortgage rates ticked higher for the second straight week. The biggest story from last week was the rising cost of gasoline. Rising energy costs combined with rising […]

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What 98 Percent Of Traders Think About The Fed’s Next Move

April 9, 2008

In three weeks, the Federal Open Market Committee will meet again and markets anticipate another cut to the Fed Funds Rate. Based on data compiled by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland at the close of business yesterday, traders put the probabilities of the Fed’s next move at: 62 percent chance that the Fed Funds Rate falls to […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : April 7, 2008

April 7, 2008

Mortgage rates edged lower last week, buoyed by a weak employment report for March. After shedding 80,000 jobs last month, the number of working Americans is lower by 232,000 so far this year. Many pundits are claiming these figures are proof of a U.S. economic recession but it’s important to keep the data in perspective. […]

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Making English Out Of Fed-Speak (March 2008 Edition)

March 19, 2008

The Fed lowered the Fed Funds Rate by 0.750% to 2.250% yesterday. Because it is tied to the Fed Funds Rate, Prime Rate also fell by 0.750% yesterday.  Prime Rate is now to 5.250%. Holders of home equity lines of credit and credit card debt benefited from the change and will see lower interest costs in […]

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Expect A Fed Funds Rate Cut This Afternoon

March 18, 2008

The Federal Open Market Committee meets today and will issue a press release in addition to cutting the Fed Funds Rate at 2:15 P.M. ET. The verbiage of the press release will be as widely watched as the rate cut itself because markets are curious about how far the Federal Reserve will go to lessen […]

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