consumer spending

Current Mortgage Rates and the Week Ahead: April 13, 2009

April 13, 2009

For the second week in a row, mortgage markets started the week strong and then ended with a fizzle. In the holiday-shortened week, rates were exactly flat overall. There wasn’t much economic data to move rates last week, incidentally.

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Mortgage Markets In Review : December 29, 2008

December 29, 2008

In a week defined by low volume and lack of conviction, mortgage markets idled ahead of the holiday last week.

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How 78 Consecutive Days Of Falling Gas Prices Helps Sell Real Estate

December 4, 2008

For the 78th consecutive day, gas prices fell nationwide yesterday. At $1.81 per gallon, the average price at the pump is less than half what it was at its peak in July. And although gas prices vary by locale, the cost of a fill-up is worthy of national news. The main reason why national gas […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : December 1, 2008

December 1, 2008

Government action fueled a mortgage market rally last week, leading mortgage rates lower for the second consecutive week. Despite soft housing numbers and evidence of a slowing economy, mortgage rate shoppers found reason to celebrate: Citigroup was “rescued” Wall Street liked the new economic team The government pledged $600 billion to buy investment-grade mortgage bonds […]

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Deflation And What It Means To Americans

November 24, 2008

Business television and newspapers have made deflation a hot topic this week and, since Monday, Google has tracked 13,000 mentions of it. Deflation is a recurring cycle in which the prices of goods and services fall. Isolated to one industry or sector, falling prices is the natural result of competition. For example, when DVD players […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : November 17, 2008

November 17, 2008

In another week of up-and-down trading, mortgage rates ended the week slightly higher last week. Ping-pong action like this has defined mortgage markets lately. It’s increasingly common for rates to soar one day, and then come crashing down the next. In response to market volatility, mortgage lenders issued as many as 8 distinct rate sheets […]

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Weak Employment Data May Boost The Affordability Of Homes

November 15, 2008

On the first Friday of every month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its Non-Farm Payrolls report. More commonly, it’s called the “jobs report” and the October’s data is trending with the rest of 2008. After shedding another 240,000 jobs last month, the economy has now put 1.2 million Americans out of work this year […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : October 27, 2008

October 27, 2008

Mortgage markets followed the recurring trading pattern of 2008 last week — volatility, volatility, and more volatility. After opening with a strong performance that drove rates down, late-week fears of a global recession reversed that path.  Mortgage rates ended the week unchanged. This was an unexpected outcome for the week considering that: The dollar gained […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : October 27, 2008

October 27, 2008

Mortgage markets followed the recurring trading pattern of 2008 last week — volatility, volatility, and more volatility. After opening with a strong performance that drove rates down, late-week fears of a global recession reversed that path. Mortgage rates ended the week unchanged. This was an unexpected outcome for the week considering that: The dollar gained […]

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How Falling Gas Prices May Stave Off Recession

October 10, 2008

Given the stock market’s recent performance, it’s not surprising that gasoline’s falling prices are garnering very little attention. That doesn’t make it any less relevant, however. Since peaking in July, gas prices are off by 20 percent. Falling gas prices are an important positive for the U.S. economy because less money spent at the pump means […]

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How Labor Day Weekend Complicates Mortgage Rate Shopping

August 29, 2008

As we get closer to Labor Day, volume on Wall Street is dwindling as market players get a head start on their long weekend. Today could be a difficult day to shop for mortgage rates.  Expect volatility. This is because mortgage rates are based on the price of mortgage bonds and, on Wall Street, bonds trade […]

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Is The Federal Reserve Telegraphing Its Next Rate Hike?

June 11, 2008

The Federal Reserve is stumping hard on inflation this week, creating speculation that Fed Funds Rate hikes may be in store for later this month. This is a counter-intuitive development because increases to the Fed Funds Rate are typically associated with periods of rapid economic expansion. Lately, we’ve seen anything but. Witness: High levels of unemployment […]

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Why It’s Good News For Home Buyers When Unemployment Rates Surge

June 6, 2008

On the first Friday of every month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its Non-Farm Payrolls report. More commonly called the “jobs report”, today’s 2-page analysis of May 2008 shows that the economy shed jobs and that unemployment surged. This is terrific news for home affordability. That may sound counter-intuitive, so let’s dig deeper into the […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : May 5, 2008

May 5, 2008

Mortgage rates ended higher last week on stronger-than-expected jobs data, strong consumer spending, and an appetite for riskier investments. But, investors were most excited about the Federal Reserve’s hint that its rate-cutting cycle may be over. The week was quiet until Wednesday when the Federal Reserve voted to lower the Fed Funds Rate by a […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : April 14, 2008

April 14, 2008

Through 5 days of see-saw trading, mortgage rates ended last week relatively flat; the downward tick into Friday’s close was a boon for home buyers this past weekend. It may be short-lived, however. Oil continues to sit near all-time highs and a slew of inflation-related data is crossing the wires this week. When inflation pressures are […]

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How Mortgage Rates Benefit From 3 Months Of Worsening Employment Data

April 4, 2008

For the third month in a row, the economy shed jobs, suggesting that the U.S. is in a recession. March’s monthly loss of 80,000 jobs is the largest since March 2003 and follows January and February’s losses of 76,000 each. The weak data is edging mortgage rates lower as we head into the weekend. The […]

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Looking Back And Looking Ahead : February 19, 2008

February 19, 2008

Early last week, mortgage rates rose on strong consumer spending and Warren Buffett’s offer to assume $800 billion in debt from three major bond insurers. Both reports were interpreted as signs of long-term strength in the economy, leading mortgage rates higher for long-term products such as the 20- and 30-year fixed rate mortgage. Meanwhile, Fed […]

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Why It’s Not So Bad That Unemployment Reached Its Highest Rate Since November 2005

January 4, 2008

On the first Friday of each month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases key data about the American workforce. The report is officially called “Non-Farm Payrolls” but most people refer to it as the “jobs report”. The jobs report’s influence on markets is palpable for two major reasons: Consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the […]

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$100 Oil Could Mean More Than High Gas Prices For Americans

January 3, 2008

The price of oil briefly touched $100 per barrel yesterday, just short of the all-time inflation-adjusted high of $102.81 in April 1980. According to economic forecasting firm Global Insight, each $10-per-barrel increase in oil prices: Increases gas prices by 19 per gallon Cuts consumer spending by one-third of a percent Reduces employment by 100,000 Adds […]

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Holiday Spending APPEARS To Be Lower, But It Isn’t Really Lower

December 26, 2007

During the Holiday Season, economists watch consumer spending intently because it makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. When spending is stronger-than-expected, it can lead to inflation which pushes mortgage rates higher. So far this season, mortgage shoppers should be in good spirits.  Sales have fallen four weeks in a row and the outlook for a late-December rally […]

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